Journal article
Future Australian severe thunderstorm environments. Part II: The influence of a strongly warming climate on convective environments
JT Allen, DJ Karoly, KJ Walsh
Journal of Climate | Published : 2014
Abstract
The influence of a warming climate on the occurrence of severe thunderstorm environments in Australia was explored using two global climate models: Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation Mark, version 3.6 (CSIROMk3.6), and the Cubic-ConformalAtmosphericModel (CCAM). Thesemodels have previously been evaluated and found to be capable of reproducing a useful climatology for the twentieth-century period (1980-2000).Analyzing the changes between the historical period and highwarming climate scenarios for the period 2079-99 has allowed estimation of the potential convective future for the continent. Based on these simulations, significant increases to the frequency of severe ..
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Grants
Awarded by Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science
Awarded by Office of Naval Research
Funding Acknowledgements
We thank CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric research including the CSIRO Mk3.6 modeling group for provision of model data and J. Katzfey for providing access to the CCAM data. Additionally, the authors are grateful to the anonymous reviewers who provided valuable feedback on the manuscript. This research was supported in part by funding from the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (Grant CE110001028) and the NCI National Facility at the ANU. The Office of Naval Research (Grant N00014-12-1-0911) and a Columbia University Research Initiatives for Science and Engineering (RISE) award also supported the writing of this paper.